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Target trial emulation is an approach to designing rigorous nonexperimental studies by “emulating” key features of a clinical trial. Most commonly used outside of policy contexts, this approach is also valuable for policy evaluation as policies typically are not randomly assigned. In this article, we discuss the application of the target trial emulation framework in a policy evaluation context. The policy trial emulation framework includes 7 components: the units and eligibility criteria, definitions of the exposure and comparison conditions, assignment mechanism, baseline (“time zero”) and follow-up, outcomes, causal estimand, and statistical analysis and assumptions. Policy evaluations that emulate a randomized trial across these dimensions can yield estimates of the causal effects of the policy on outcomes. Using the policy trial emulation framework to conduct and report on research design and methods supports transparent assessment of threats to causal inference in nonexperimental studies intended to assess the effect of a health policy on clinical or population health outcomes.

What Internal Medicine Physicians Need to Know About Contraception

The Mifepristone Litigation: Untangling the Implications of the Fifth Circuit’s Decision for Abortion Access and the U.S. Food and Drug Administration

In August 2023, a federal appeals court issued an opinion in Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine v FDA, a case wherein a group of antiabortion medical organizations and physicians have challenged U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval and regulation of mifepristone. This opinion contained some good news for the FDA, drug makers, and patients: the appeals court declined to halt the marketing of mifepristone altogether (as the trial court judge would have). But the court also decided that the FDA’s 2016 and 2021 actions expanding the indication for mifepristone, lowering the drug’s dose, and loosening restrictions on its distribution and use were likely unlawful, and it thus affirmed the trial court’s order staying these actions. In this article, we explain key aspects of the opinion to health care professionals and consider the ways in which the appeals court’s reasoning and conclusions, if followed by the Supreme Court, could undermine abortion access and public health going forward.

Responding to Reviewers and Editors About Statistical Significance Testing

An Ethical and Financial Obligation for Sickle Cell Disease Gene Therapy in the United States

Long-Term Effects of Individualized Acupuncture for Chronic Neck Pain: A Randomized Controlled Trial: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 177, No 10

Background: Long-term effects of individualized acupuncture in persons with chronic neck pain (CNP) remain unknown. Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of pressure pain, sensory-based individualized acupuncture for relieving CNP. Design: A 24-week multicenter randomized controlled clinical trial. (ChiCTR1800016371) Setting: Outpatient settings at 4 clinical centers in China from May 2018 to March 2020. Participants: 716 participants with CNP. Intervention: Participants were randomly assigned to a waiting list (WL) group or to 1 of 3 interventions, which consisted of 10 sessions over 4 weeks: higher sensitive acupoints (HSA), lower sensitive acupoints (LSA), and sham acupoints (SA) acupuncture groups. Measurements: The primary outcome was the change in the visual analogue scale (VAS) score for neck pain (range, 0 to 100) from baseline to 4 weeks, with a difference of 10 points considered the minimum clinically important threshold. The VAS was also assessed every 4 weeks through 24 weeks. Results: The modified intention-to-treat population included 683 participants. The mean baseline VAS was 50.36, 50.10, 49.24, and 49.16 for HSA, LSA, SA, and WL, respectively. Compared with a mean baseline to week 4 change of −12.16 in the HSA group, the mean changes were −10.19 in the LSA group (net difference [ND], −1.97 [95% CI, −5.03 to 1.09]), −6.11 in the SA group (ND, −6.05 [CI, −9.10 to −3.00]), and −2.24 in the WL group (ND, −9.93 [CI, −12.95 to −6.90]). The intervention effects persisted at 24-week follow-up. Limitation: Lack of complete blinding and limited generalizability. Conclusion: Individualized acupuncture interventions using high- or low-sensitivity acupuncture points were more effective in reducing CNP than SA and WL control groups sustained through 24 weeks, but the magnitude of relative improvement did not reach a minimal clinically important difference. Primary Funding Source: National Natural Science Foundation of China.

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Prevention, Diagnosis, Evaluation, and Treatment of Hepatitis C in Chronic Kidney Disease: Synopsis of the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes 2022 Clinical Practice Guideline

Description: The Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) 2022 clinical practice guideline on prevention, diagnosis, evaluation, and treatment of hepatitis C in chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an update of the 2018 guideline from KDIGO. Methods: The KDIGO Work Group (WG) updated the guideline, which included reviewing and grading new evidence that was identified and summarized. As in the previous guideline, the WG used the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach to appraise evidence and rate the strength of recommendations and used expert judgment to develop recommendations. New evidence led to updating of recommendations in the chapters on treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in patients with CKD (Chapter 2), management of HCV infection before and after kidney transplant (Chapter 4), and diagnosis and management of kidney disease associated with HCV infection (Chapter 5). Recommendations in chapters on detection and evaluation of hepatitis C in CKD (Chapter 1) and prevention of HCV transmission in hemodialysis units (Chapter 3) were not updated because of an absence of significant new evidence. Recommendations: The 2022 updated guideline includes 43 graded recommendations and 20 ungraded recommendations, 7 of which are new or modified on the basis of the most recent evidence and consensus among the WG members. The updated guidelines recommend expanding treatment of hepatitis C with sofosbuvir-based regimens to patients with CKD glomerular filtration rate categories G4 and G5, including those receiving dialysis; expanding the donor pool for kidney transplant recipients by accepting HCV-positive kidneys regardless of the recipient’s HCV status; and initiating direct-acting antiviral treatment of HCV-infected patients with clinical evidence of glomerulonephritis without requiring kidney biopsy. The update also addresses the use of immunosuppressive regimens in such patients.

How Would You Manage This Patient With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction?: Grand Rounds Discussion From Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 176, No 12

The proportion of patients with new-onset heart failure who have preserved rather than reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFpEF and HFrEF) has been increasing over recent decades. In fact, HFpEF now outweighs HFrEF as the predominant heart failure subtype and likely remains underdiagnosed in the community. This is due in part to an aging population and a rise in other risk factors for HFpEF, including obesity and associated cardiometabolic disease. Whereas the diagnosis of HFrEF is relatively straightforward, the diagnosis of HFpEF is often more challenging because there can be other causes for symptoms, including dyspnea and fatigue, and cardinal physical examination findings of elevated jugular venous pressure or pulmonary congestion may not be evident at rest. In 2022, the American College of Cardiology, the American Heart Association, and the Heart Failure Society of America published a comprehensive guideline on heart failure that included recommendations for the management of HFpEF. The use of diuretics for the management of congestion remained the only class 1 (strong) recommendation. New recommendations included broader use of sodium–glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i, class 2a), and angiotensin receptor–neprilysin inhibitors (class 2b). In 2023, the American College of Cardiology published an expert consensus decision pathway for the management of HFpEF that suggests treatment strategies based on sex assigned at birth, ejection fraction, clinical evidence of congestion, and candidacy for SGLT2i therapy. Here, 2 experts, a cardiologist and a geriatrician, discuss their approach to the diagnosis and management of HFpEF and how they would apply guidelines to an individual patient.

When Clinical Prediction Is Steering the Ship, Beware the Drift of Its Wake

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