General and Abdominal Adiposity and Mortality in Mexico City: A Prospective Study of 150 000 Adults: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 171, No 6

Background: Some reports suggest that body mass index (BMI) is not strongly associated with mortality in Hispanic populations. Objective: To assess the causal relevance of adiposity to mortality in Mexican adults, avoiding reverse causality biases. Design: Prospective study. Setting: 2 Mexico City districts. Participants: 159 755 adults aged 35 years and older at recruitment, followed for up to 14 years. Participants with a hemoglobin A1c level of 7% or greater, diabetes, or other chronic diseases were excluded. Measurements: BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, waist circumference, and cause-specific mortality. Cox regression, adjusted for confounders, yielded mortality hazard ratios (HRs) after at least 5 years of follow-up and before age 75 years. Results: Among 115 400 participants aged 35 to <75 years at recruitment, mean BMI was 28.0 kg/m2 (SD, 4.1 kg/m2) in men and 29.6 kg/m2 (SD, 5.1 kg/m2) in women. The association of BMI at recruitment with all-cause mortality was J-shaped, with the minimum at 25 to <27.5 kg/m2. Above 25 kg/m2, each 5-kg/m2 increase in BMI was associated with a 30% increase in all-cause mortality (HR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.24 to 1.36]). This association was stronger at ages 40 to <60 years (HR, 1.40 [CI, 1.30 to 1.49]) than at ages 60 to <75 years (HR, 1.24 [CI, 1.17 to 1.31]) but was not materially affected by sex, smoking, or other confounders. The associations of mortality with BMI and waist-to-hip ratio were similarly strong, and each was weakened only slightly by adjustment for the other. Waist circumference was strongly related to mortality and remained so even after adjustment for BMI and hip circumference. Limitation: Analyses were limited to mortality. Conclusion: General, and particularly abdominal, adiposity were strongly associated with mortality in this Mexican population. Primary Funding Source: Mexican Health Ministry, Mexican National Council of Science and Technology, Wellcome Trust, Medical Research Council, and Kidney Research UK.

Patent Foramen Ovale and Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Pulmonary Embolism: A Prospective Cohort Study: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 170, No 11

Background: Pulmonary embolism (PE) is associated with increased risk for ischemic stroke, but the underlying mechanism remains unclear. The authors hypothesized that paradoxical embolism through patent foramen ovale (PFO) should be the main mechanism. Objective: To determine the frequency of recent ischemic stroke in patients with symptomatic PE according to whether PFO was detected. Design: Prospective cohort study with masked assessment of stroke outcomes. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01216423) Setting: 4 French hospital centers. Participants: 361 consecutive patients with symptomatic acute PE from 13 November 2009 through 21 December 2015. Intervention: Systematic contrast transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) and cerebral magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) within 7 days after enrollment. Measurements: Recent symptomatic or silent ischemic stroke was diagnosed on the basis of clinical examination and cerebral MRI showing a hypersignal on the trace diffusion-weighted image with reduction or pseudonormalization of apparent diffusion coefficient. Results: Contrast TTE was conclusive in 324 of 361 patients and showed PFO in 43 patients (13%). The median age was 66 years (interquartile range, 54 to 77 years). In total, 51% of patients (145/284) had associated deep venous thrombosis, 91% (279/306) had cardiovascular risk factors, and 10% (16/151) presented with arrhythmia (no difference between PFO and non-PFO groups). Cerebral MRI was conclusive in 315 patients. Recent ischemic stroke was more frequent in the PFO group than in the non-PFO group (9 of 42 patients [21.4%] vs. 15 of 273 patients [5.5%]; difference in proportions, 15.9 percentage points [95% CI, 4.7 to 30.7 percentage points]). Limitation: Because of inconclusive contrast TTE or MRI, 46 patients were excluded from analysis. Conclusion: Frequency of recent ischemic stroke in patients with symptomatic PE was higher in patients with PFO than in those without PFO. This finding supports the hypothesis that paradoxical embolism is an important mechanism of ischemic stroke in patients with PFO. Primary Funding Source: French Ministry of Health.

An Introduction to STRIVE

Improving the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act's Insurance Coverage Provisions: A Position Paper From the American College of Physicians

The coverage reforms of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act have fundamentally changed the U.S. health care system. The law's health insurance regulations, which include protections for persons with preexisting conditions, have made health insurance more accessible. The premium tax credit and cost-sharing subsidies have made nongroup coverage more affordable. The essential health benefit package and coverage for preventive services without cost sharing have made insurance more comprehensive. Perhaps most important, the Medicaid expansion extended coverage to millions of low-income adults. Despite these gains, more needs to be done to bring the United States closer to achieving universal coverage. In this position paper, the American College of Physicians recommends action to enhance and expand eligibility for health insurance financial subsidies; stabilize health insurance marketplaces; provide sustained funding for outreach, education, and enrollment assistance activities; test and implement a mechanism to encourage enrollment; expand Medicaid in all states; and establish a public insurance option to increase competition.

Should a Prison Salt Trial Be Federally Funded?

Risks and Benefits of Dolutegravir- and Efavirenz-Based Strategies for South African Women With HIV of Child-Bearing Potential: A Modeling Study: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 170, No 9

Background: Dolutegravir is superior to efavirenz for HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART) but may be associated with an increased risk for neural tube defects (NTDs) in newborns if used by women at conception. Objective: To project clinical outcomes of ART policies for women of child-bearing potential in South Africa. Design: Model of 3 strategies: efavirenz for all women of child-bearing potential (EFV), dolutegravir for all women of child-bearing potential (DTG), or World Health Organization (WHO)-recommended efavirenz without contraception or dolutegravir with contraception (WHO approach). Data Sources: Published data on NTD risks (efavirenz, 0.05%; dolutegravir, 0.67% [Tsepamo study]), 48-week ART efficacy with initiation (efavirenz, 60% to 91%; dolutegravir, 96%), and age-stratified fertility rates (2 to 139 per 1000 women). Target Population: 3.1 million South African women with HIV (aged 15 to 49 years) starting or continuing first-line ART, and their children. Time Horizon: 5 years. Perspective: Societal. Intervention: EFV, DTG, and WHO approach. Outcome Measures: Deaths among women and children, sexual and pediatric HIV transmissions, and NTDs. Results of Base-Case Analysis: Compared with EFV, DTG averted 13 700 women's deaths (0.44% decrease) and 57 700 sexual HIV transmissions, but increased total pediatric deaths by 4400 because of more NTDs. The WHO approach offered some benefits compared with EFV, averting 4900 women's deaths and 20 500 sexual transmissions while adding 300 pediatric deaths. Overall, combined deaths among women and children were lowest with DTG (358 000 deaths) compared with the WHO approach (362 800 deaths) or EFV (367 300 deaths). Results of Sensitivity Analysis: Women's deaths averted with DTG exceeded pediatric deaths added with EFV unless dolutegravir-associated NTD risk was 1.5% or greater. Limitation: Uncertainty in NTD risks and dolutegravir efficacy in resource-limited settings, each examined in sensitivity analyses. Conclusion: Although NTD risks may be higher with dolutegravir than efavirenz, dolutegravir will lead to many fewer deaths among women, as well as fewer overall HIV transmissions. These results argue against a uniform policy of avoiding dolutegravir in women of child-bearing potential. Primary Funding Source: National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Massachusetts General Hospital; and Harvard University Center for AIDS Research.

Effect of Electronic Health Record–Based Coaching on Weight Maintenance: A Randomized Trial: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 171, No 11

Background: Weight regain after intentional loss is common. Most evidence-based weight management programs focus on short-term loss rather than long-term maintenance. Objective: To evaluate the benefit of coaching in an electronic health record (EHR)–based weight maintenance intervention. Design: Randomized controlled trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01946191) Setting: Practices affiliated with an academic medical center. Participants: Adult outpatients with body mass index (BMI) of 25 kg/m2 or higher, intentional weight loss of at least 5% in the previous 2 years, and no bariatric procedures in the previous 5 years. Intervention: Participants were randomly assigned to EHR tools (tracking group) versus EHR tools plus coaching (coaching group). The EHR tools included weight, diet, and physical activity tracking flow sheets; standardized surveys; and reminders. The coaching group received 24 months of personalized coaching through the EHR patient portal, with 24 scheduled contacts. Measurements: The primary outcome was weight change at 24 months. Secondary outcomes included 5% weight loss maintenance and changes in BMI, waist circumference, number of steps per day, health-related quality of life, physical function, blood pressure, and satisfaction. Results: Among 194 randomly assigned participants (mean age, 53.4 years [SD, 12.2]; 143 [74%] women; 171 [88%] white), 157 (81%) completed the trial. Mean baseline weight and BMI were 85.8 kg (SD, 19.1) and 30.4 kg/m2 (SD, 5.9). At 24 months, mean weight regain (± SE) was 2.1 ± 0.62 kg and 4.9 ± 0.63 kg in the coaching and tracking groups, respectively. The between-group difference in weight change at 24 months was significant (−2.86 kg [95% CI, −4.60 to −1.11 kg]) in the linear mixed model. At 24 months, 65% of participants in the coaching group and 50% in the tracking group maintained weight loss of at least 5%. Limitation: Single-site trial, which limits generalizability. Conclusion: Among adults with intentional weight loss of at least 5%, use of EHR tools plus coaching resulted in less weight regain than EHR tools alone. Primary Funding Source: Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality and National Institutes of Health.

Cardiovascular Disease Risk Estimation in China

The Development of Clinical Guidelines and Guidance Statements by the Clinical Guidelines Committee of the American College of Physicians: Update of Methods

The American College of Physicians (ACP) was one of the first organizations in the United States to develop evidence-based clinical guidelines and has been developing guidelines since 1981. ACP's Clinical Guidelines Committee (CGC), in collaboration with staff from the Clinical Policy department, develops clinical guidelines and guidance statements and continues to refine and enhance its methodology. This article presents an update of the CGC's 2010 paper outlining policies, methods, and presentation format of ACP's clinical guidelines and guidance statements. Updated methods include more stringent policies about disclosure of interests and conflict management; inclusion of public perspective; full adoption of GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) methods; more standardized reporting formats that consider value of care, patient comorbid conditions, patient values and preferences, and costs; and further clarification of guidance statement methods.

Disclosure of Interests and Management of Conflicts of Interest in Clinical Guidelines and Guidance Statements: Methods From the Clinical Guidelines Committee of the American College of Physicians

One of the hallmarks of a trustworthy clinical guideline or guidance statement is a comprehensive process for disclosure of interests (DOI) and management of conflicts of interest (COIs). The American College of Physicians (ACP) Clinical Guidelines Committee (CGC) aims to disclose all health care–related interests and manage conflicts in a manner that is transparent, proportional, and consistent. Any person involved in the development of an ACP clinical guideline or guidance statement must disclose all financial and intellectual interests related to health care from the previous 3 years. Persons complete disclosures at the start of their participation and are required to update them over the course of their involvement with the CGC, including before each CGC meeting. A DOI-COI Review and Management Panel reviews the disclosures; flags potential conflicts; grades the COI as low-, moderate-, or high-level; and manages the person's participation accordingly. A high-level COI results in recusal from authorship, voting, and all committee discussions. Participants with a moderate-level COI are recused from authorship and voting for clinically relevant topics but may participate in all discussions. A low-level COI results in no role restrictions. All disclosures and COI management decisions are publicly reported.