Comparison of Five Major Guidelines for Statin Use in Primary Prevention in a Contemporary General Population

Background: Five major organizations recently published guidelines for using statins to prevent atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD): in 2013, the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA); in 2014, the United Kingdom's National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE); and in 2016, the Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS), the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF), and the European Society of Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society (ESC/EAS). Objective: To compare the utility of these guidelines for primary prevention of ASCVD. Design: Observational study of actual ASCVD events during 10 years, followed by a modeling study to estimate the effectiveness of different guidelines. Setting: The Copenhagen General Population Study. Participants: 45 750 Danish persons aged 40 to 75 years who did not use statins and did not have ASCVD at baseline. Measurements: The number of participants eligible to use statins according to each guideline and the estimated number of ASCVD events that statins could have prevented. Results: The percentage of participants eligible for statins was 44% by the CCS guideline, 42% by ACC/AHA, 40% by NICE, 31% by USPSTF, and 15% by ESC/EAS. The estimated percentage of ASCVD events that could have been prevented by using statins for 10 years was 34% for CCS, 34% for ACC/AHA, 32% for NICE, 27% for USPSTF, and 13% for ESC/EAS. Limitation: This study was limited to primary prevention in white Europeans. Conclusion: Guidelines recommending that more persons use statins for primary prevention of ASCVD should prevent more events than guidelines recommending use by fewer persons. Primary Funding Source: Copenhagen University Hospital.

Treatment of Latent Tuberculosis Infection: An Updated Network Meta-analysis: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 167, No 4

Background: Treatment of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is an important component of tuberculosis (TB) control, and this study updates a previous network meta-analysis of the best LTBI treatment options to inform public health action and programmatic management of LTBI. Purpose: To evaluate the comparative efficacy and harms of LTBI treatment regimens aimed at preventing active TB among adults and children. Data Sources: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science from indexing to 8 May 2017; clinical trial registries; and conference abstracts. No language restrictions were applied. Study Selection: Randomized controlled trials that evaluated human LTBI treatments and recorded at least 1 of 2 prespecified end points (hepatotoxicity and prevention of active TB). Data Extraction: 2 investigators independently extracted data from eligible studies and assessed study quality according to a standard protocol. Data Synthesis: The network meta-analysis of 8 new and 53 previously included studies showed that isoniazid regimens of 6 months (odds ratio [OR], 0.65 [95% credible interval {CrI}, 0.50 to 0.83]) or 12 to 72 months (OR, 0.50 [CrI, 0.41 to 0.62]), rifampicin-only regimens (OR, 0.41 [CrI, 0.19 to 0.85]), rifampicin-isoniazid regimens of 3 to 4 months (OR, 0.53 [CrI, 0.36 to 0.78]), rifampicin-isoniazid-pyrazinamide regimens (OR, 0.35 [CrI, 0.19 to 0.61]), and rifampicin-pyrazinamide regimens (OR, 0.53 [CrI, 0.33 to 0.84]) were efficacious compared with placebo. Evidence existed for efficacy of weekly rifapentine-isoniazid regimens compared with no treatment (OR, 0.36 [CrI, 0.18 to 0.73]). No conclusive evidence showed that HIV status altered treatment efficacy. Limitation: Evidence was sparse for many comparisons and hepatotoxicity outcomes, and risk of bias was high or unknown for many studies. Conclusion: Evidence exists for the efficacy and safety of 6-month isoniazid monotherapy, rifampicin monotherapy, and combination therapies with 3 to 4 months of isoniazid and rifampicin. Primary Funding Source: U.K. National Institute for Health Research. (PROSPERO: CRD42016037871)

Percutaneous Ablation Versus Partial and Radical Nephrectomy for T1a Renal Cancer: A Population-Based Analysis: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 169, No 2

Background: Stage T1a renal cell carcinoma (RCC) (tumors <4 cm) is usually curable. Nephron-sparing partial nephrectomy (PN) has replaced radical nephrectomy (RN) as the standard of care for these tumors. Radical nephrectomy remains the first alternative treatment option, whereas percutaneous ablation (PA), a newer, nonsurgical treatment, is recommended less strongly because of the relative paucity of comparative PA data. Objective: To compare PA, PN, and RN outcomes. Design: Observational cohort analysis using inverse probability of treatment–weighted propensity scores. Setting: Population-based SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) cancer registry data linked to Medicare claims. Patients: Persons aged 66 years or older who received treatment for T1a RCC between 2006 and 2011. Interventions: PA versus PN and RN. Measurements: RCC-specific and overall survival, 30- and 365-day postintervention complications. Results: 4310 patients were followed for a median of 52 months for overall survival and 42 months for RCC-specific survival. After PA versus PN, the 5-year RCC-specific survival rate was 95% (95% CI, 93% to 98%) versus 98% (CI, 96% to 99%); after PA versus RN, 96% (CI, 94% to 98%) versus 95% (CI, 93% to 96%). After PA versus PN, the 5-year overall survival rate was 77% (CI, 74% to 81%) versus 86% (CI, 84% to 88%); after PA versus RN, 74% (CI, 71% to 78%) versus 75% (CI, 73% to 77%). Cumulative rates of renal insufficiency 31 to 365 days after PA, PN, and RN were 11% (CI, 8% to 14%), 9% (CI, 8% to 10%), and 18% (CI, 17% to 20%), respectively. Rates of nonurologic complications within 30 days after PA, PN, and RN were 6% (CI, 4% to 9%), 29% (CI, 27% to 30%), and 30% (CI, 28% to 32%), respectively. Ten percent of patients in the PN group had intraoperative conversion to RN. Seven percent of patients in the PA group received additional PA within 1 year of treatment. Limitations: Analysis of observational data may have been affected by residual confounding by provider or from selection bias toward younger, healthier patients in the PN group. Findings from this older study population are probably less applicable to younger patients. Use of SEER–Medicare linked files prevented analysis of patients who received treatment after 2011, possibly reducing generalizability to the newest PA, PN, and RN techniques. Conclusion: For well-selected older adults with T1a RCC, PA may result in oncologic outcomes similar to those of RN, but with less long-term renal insufficiency and markedly fewer periprocedural complications. Compared with PN, PA may be associated with slightly shorter RCC-specific survival but fewer periprocedural complications. Primary Funding Source: Association of University Radiologists GE Radiology Research Academic Fellowship and Society of Interventional Radiology Foundation.

Hepatitis C: Down but Not Out

Benefits and Risks of Antithrombotic Therapy in Essential Thrombocythemia: A Systematic Review: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 167, No 3

Background: Patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET) are at high risk for both thrombosis and hemorrhage. Purpose: To evaluate the risks and benefits of antithrombotic therapy in adults with ET. Data Sources: Multiple databases, including MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, through 4 March 2017. Study Selection: Randomized and observational studies of antiplatelet or anticoagulant therapy, published in any language and reporting thrombotic or hemorrhagic events. Data Extraction: Two reviewers independently extracted data, assessed risk of bias, and graded certainty of evidence. Data Synthesis: No relevant randomized trials were identified. Twenty-four observational studies (18 comparative and 6 single-group) involving 6153 patients followed for 31 711 patient-years were reviewed; most were deemed to have high risk of bias. Most patients receiving antiplatelet therapy (3613 of 4527 [80%]) received low-dose aspirin (50 to 150 mg/d); 914 (20%) received high-dose aspirin (300 to 600 mg/d), dipyridamole, or other agents. Overall, findings were inconsistent and imprecise. The reported incidence rates of thrombosis, any bleeding, and major bleeding without antiplatelet therapy ranged from 5 to 110 (median, 20), from 3 to 39 (median, 8), and from 2 to 53 (median, 6) cases per 1000 patient-years, respectively. The reported relative risks for thrombosis, any bleeding, and major bleeding with antiplatelet therapy compared with none ranged from 0.26 to 3.48 (median, 0.74), from 0.48 to 11.04 (median, 1.95), and from 0.48 to 5.17 (median, 1.30), respectively. Certainty of evidence was rated low or very low for all outcomes. Limitation: No randomized trials, no extractable data on anticoagulants, lack of uniform bleeding definitions, and systematic reporting of outcomes. Conclusion: Available evidence about the risk–benefit ratio of antiplatelet therapy in adults with ET is highly uncertain. Primary Funding Source: Regional Medical Associates. (PROSPERO: CRD42015027051)

Planned Parenthood Provides Essential Services That Improve Women's Health

Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators for Primary Prevention in Patients With Ischemic or Nonischemic Cardiomyopathy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 167, No 2

Background: Implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) have a role in preventing cardiac arrest in patients at risk for life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias. Purpose: To compare ICD therapy with conventional care for the primary prevention of death of various causes in adults with ischemic or nonischemic cardiomyopathy. Data Sources: MEDLINE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Google Scholar, and EMBASE databases, as well as several Web sites, from 1 April 1976 through 31 March 2017. Study Selection: Randomized controlled trials, published in any language, comparing ICD therapy with conventional care and reporting mortality outcomes (all-cause, sudden, any cardiac, or noncardiac) in the primary prevention setting. Data Extraction: 2 independent investigators extracted study data and assessed risk of bias. Data Synthesis: Included were 11 trials involving 8716 patients: 4 (1781 patients) addressed nonischemic cardiomyopathy, 6 (4414 patients) ischemic cardiomyopathy, and 1 (2521 patients) both types of cardiomyopathy. Mean follow-up was 3.2 years. An overall reduction in all-cause mortality, from 28.26% with conventional care to 21.37% with ICD therapy (hazard ratio [HR], 0.81 [95% CI, 0.70 to 0.94]; P = 0.043), was found. The magnitude of reduction was similar in the cohorts with nonischemic (HR, 0.81 [CI, 0.72 to 0.91]) and ischemic (HR, 0.82 [CI, 0.63 to 1.06]) disease, although the latter estimate did not reach statistical significance. The rate of sudden death fell from 12.15% with conventional care to 4.39% with ICD therapy (HR, 0.41 [CI, 0.30 to 0.56]), with a similar magnitude of reduction in patients with ischemic (HR, 0.39 [CI, 0.23 to 0.68]) and those with nonischemic disease (HR, 0.44 [CI, 0.17 to 1.12]). Noncardiac and any cardiac deaths did not differ significantly by treatment. Limitation: Heterogeneous timing of ICD placement; heterogeneous pharmacologic and resynchronization co-interventions; trials conducted in different eras; adverse events and complications not reviewed. Conclusion: Overall, primary prevention with ICD therapy versus conventional care reduced the incidence of sudden and all-cause death. Primary Funding Source: None.

Update in Hematology and Oncology: Evidence Published in 2016

46-Year Trends in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Mortality in the United States, 1968 to 2013: A Nationwide Population-Based Study: Annals of Internal Medicine: Vol 167, No 11

Background: No large population-based studies have been done on systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) mortality trends in the United States. Objective: To identify secular trends and population characteristics associated with SLE mortality. Design: Population-based study using a national mortality database and census data. Setting: United States. Participants: All U.S. residents, 1968 through 2013. Measurements: Joinpoint trend analysis of annual age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for SLE and non-SLE causes by sex, race/ethnicity, and geographic region; multiple logistic regression analysis to determine independent associations of demographic variables and period with SLE mortality. Results: There were 50 249 SLE deaths and 100 851 288 non-SLE deaths from 1968 through 2013. Over this period, the SLE ASMR decreased less than the non-SLE ASMR, with a 34.6% cumulative increase in the ratio of the former to the latter. The non-SLE ASMR decreased every year starting in 1968, whereas the SLE ASMR decreased between 1968 and 1975, increased between 1975 and 1999, and decreased thereafter. Similar patterns were seen in both sexes, among black persons, and in the South. However, statistically significant increases in the SLE ASMR did not occur among white persons over the 46-year period. Females, black persons, and residents of the South had higher SLE ASMRs and larger cumulative increases in the ratio of the SLE to the non-SLE ASMR (31.4%, 62.5%, and 58.6%, respectively) than males, other racial/ethnic groups, and residents of other regions, respectively. Multiple logistic regression showed independent associations of sex, race, and region with SLE mortality risk and revealed significant racial/ethnic differences in associations of SLE mortality with sex and region. Limitations: Underreporting of SLE on death certificates may have resulted in underestimates of SLE ASMRs. Accuracy of coding on death certificates is difficult to ascertain. Conclusion: Rates of SLE mortality have decreased since 1968 but remain high relative to non-SLE mortality, and significant sex, racial, and regional disparities persist. Primary Funding Source: None.

Recommended Immunization Schedule for Adults Aged 19 Years or Older, United States, 2017*